What the Data Cannot Say: Small-Sample Inference and India’s National Accounts
The recent paper by Anand, Felman and Subramanian (2026) argues that India’s January 2015 national accounts methodology revision caused GDP growth to be overstated by approximately 1.5-2 percentage points per year between FY2011-12 and FY2024-25. The paper presents evidence for this view using informal-sector survey data, cross-country regressions, and correlation analysis that is the focus …
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